GeraClinic / Hospital Mortality Index
The Gera Hospital Mortality Index
A plain-English read of the NHS Summary Hospital-level Mortality Indicator (SHMI) — the ratio of deaths that actually followed hospitalisation at each acute NHS trust to the number expected given the patients it treats. We present it in index points against a national baseline of 100: 100 means deaths were as expected, above 100 means more than expected, below 100 fewer. For November 2024 to October 2025, 11 of 118 trusts recorded higher-than-expected mortality.
What is the NHS hospital mortality rate by trust right now?
In the November 2024 to October 2025 NHS SHMI release, the Gera Hospital Mortality Index baseline is 100 (deaths nationally were as expected). Of 118 acute NHS trusts, 11 recorded higher-than-expected mortality, 99 as expected and 8 lower, across about 286,875 deaths. A higher figure is a "smoke alarm" for investigation, not proof of poor care (NHS England).
How to read this — a "smoke alarm", not a league table
The SHMI is NOT a measure of quality of care. NHS England is explicit that a higher-than-expected SHMI should be treated as a "smoke alarm" — a prompt to investigate, not evidence of poor care — and that an "as expected" or "lower than expected" value should not be read as proof of good care. Many factors outside a hospital’s control (local population health, the prevalence of palliative-care coding, deaths in hospices) affect the figure.
The banding on this page is the NHS’s own; we reproduce it and do not re-band any trust. Use the figures to ask informed questions, never as a verdict on the quality or safety of a hospital.
The index is simply the official SHMI ratio multiplied by 100, so a lay reader can see how far a trust sits above or below the national expectation at a glance (a trust at 112 had roughly 12% more deaths than expected). The SHMI value, the banding and the death counts are all the real published NHS figures; only the x100 presentation is Gera’s, and it is set out in full in the methodology.
Trusts in the SHMI
118
acute NHS trusts, England
Higher than expected
11
band 1 — smoke alarm
As expected
99
band 2 — most trusts
Lower than expected
8
band 3
Deaths (all trusts)
286,875
in hospital or within 30 days
Discharges
9.4m
finished provider spells
Expected deaths
286,870
modelled by the NHS
National baseline
100
deaths as expected = 100
Trusts with higher-than-expected mortality (11)
These 11 trusts were banded higher than expected by the NHS in the November 2024 to October 2025 release — their observed deaths fell above the upper control limit of the range expected for their patients. As NHS England states, this is a prompt for investigation, not evidence of poor care.
| Trust | Mortality Index | SHMI | Observed deaths | Expected deaths |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| University Hospitals of Morecambe Bay NHS Foundation Trust | 139.6 | 1.396 | 1,895 | 1,360 |
| The Queen Elizabeth Hospital, King's Lynn, NHS Foundation Trust | 134.7 | 1.347 | 1,620 | 1,200 |
| Medway NHS Foundation Trust | 129.0 | 1.290 | 1,835 | 1,420 |
| County Durham and Darlington NHS Foundation Trust | 128.8 | 1.288 | 3,320 | 2,575 |
| East Cheshire NHS Trust | 125.8 | 1.258 | 895 | 715 |
| Blackpool Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust | 125.2 | 1.252 | 2,355 | 1,880 |
| East Lancashire Hospitals NHS Trust | 122.6 | 1.226 | 2,555 | 2,085 |
| University Hospitals Coventry and Warwickshire NHS Trust | 121.2 | 1.212 | 2,920 | 2,410 |
| University Hospitals Plymouth NHS Trust | 120.6 | 1.206 | 2,610 | 2,165 |
| University Hospitals of North Midlands NHS Trust | 119.6 | 1.196 | 4,350 | 3,635 |
| Calderdale and Huddersfield NHS Foundation Trust | 118.0 | 1.180 | 2,490 | 2,110 |
Trusts with lower-than-expected mortality (8)
These 8 trusts were banded lower than expected. NHS England cautions that a lower figure should not automatically be read as good care — coding of palliative care and local population differences also drive it.
| Trust | Mortality Index | SHMI | Observed deaths | Expected deaths |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust | 71.8 | 0.718 | 2,165 | 3,015 |
| Kingston and Richmond NHS Foundation Trust | 72.6 | 0.726 | 1,140 | 1,570 |
| Chelsea and Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust | 75.5 | 0.755 | 1,710 | 2,260 |
| Homerton Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust | 78.3 | 0.783 | 585 | 750 |
| University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust | 80.6 | 0.806 | 1,075 | 1,335 |
| University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust | 82.8 | 0.828 | 2,855 | 3,445 |
| London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust | 84.0 | 0.840 | 2,615 | 3,115 |
| Royal Surrey NHS Foundation Trust | 84.2 | 0.842 | 1,365 | 1,620 |
Every NHS trust (118), by mortality index
All 118 acute NHS trusts in the SHMI, highest index first. Select any trust for its full figures and how to read them. Remember: the ordering is a presentation of the official ratio, not a ranking of hospital quality.
National average across all trusts: deaths were exactly as expected — the SHMI is built so the England average is 1.00 (index 100).
Gera Hospital Mortality Index: FAQs
- What is the Gera Hospital Mortality Index?
- The Gera Hospital Mortality Index (GHMI) presents the NHS Summary Hospital-level Mortality Indicator (SHMI) in plain-English index points against a national baseline of 100. The SHMI is the ratio of the deaths that actually followed hospitalisation at a trust to the number expected given its patients; the GHMI simply multiplies that ratio by 100, so 100 = exactly as expected, above 100 = more deaths than expected, below 100 = fewer. Every figure is the real published NHS value for November 2024 to October 2025; only the x100 presentation is Gera’s.
- What is the SHMI and who publishes it?
- The Summary Hospital-level Mortality Indicator (SHMI) is published by NHS England (NHS Digital). It reports, for each acute NHS trust in England, the ratio of observed deaths (in hospital or within 30 days of discharge) to the deaths expected given the age, sex, diagnosis and other characteristics of the patients treated. This edition covers November 2024 to October 2025 and was published on 12 March 2026.
- Does a higher SHMI mean a hospital provides worse care?
- No. NHS England is explicit that the SHMI is NOT a measure of quality of care. A higher-than-expected value is a "smoke alarm" that warrants investigation, not proof of poor care, and an "as expected" or "lower than expected" value is not proof of good care. Factors outside a hospital’s control — local population health and how palliative or hospice care is coded — affect the figure. Use it as a prompt to ask questions, never as a league table of hospital quality.
- How many NHS trusts had higher-than-expected mortality?
- In the November 2024 to October 2025 SHMI release, of 118 trusts, 11 were banded "higher than expected", 99 "as expected" and 8 "lower than expected". Across all trusts there were about 286,875 deaths from roughly 9.4 million discharges. The banding is the NHS’s own; this page reproduces it and does not re-band any trust.
- How is the SHMI calculated?
- The SHMI is observed deaths divided by expected deaths. Expected deaths are modelled by the NHS from the patients each trust treats — their age, sex, admission method, diagnosis grouping and other factors — so trusts treating sicker patients are expected to have more deaths. A result of 1.00 means observed equalled expected. The NHS bands each trust using control limits around the expected count. Full methodology is on the NHS SHMI publication and summarised on our methodology page.
- How often is the Hospital Mortality Index updated?
- NHS England publishes the SHMI monthly, each edition covering a rolling 12-month period. Gera recomputes the index on the release it cites. This edition uses the November 2024 to October 2025 release (published 12 March 2026) and was last recomputed on 3 July 2026.
- What does the index NOT show?
- It does not measure quality or safety of care, and it is not adjusted for every possible difference between hospitals. Deaths in hospices are included in a supplementary SHMI but the headline figure treats palliative-care coding as a known limitation. It covers acute English NHS trusts only — not specialist, community or independent providers — and it is not clinical advice about where any individual should be treated.
- Is this an official NHS ranking of hospitals?
- No. The banding and every figure are the NHS’s own published data, but the ordering into index points is Gera’s presentation of that open data and GeraClinic is not part of, or affiliated with, the NHS. The NHS does not publish the SHMI as a league table and neither should it be read as one.
Understand the NHS from the data up
The SHMI is one of several open NHS datasets Gera turns into plain-English, citable indices. If you are a clinician considering the UK, or a patient trying to make sense of the numbers, start with the honest, free guides.
Related NHS data
Source
The Gera Hospital Mortality Index is built only from the real NHS SHMI release below — every figure on this page and its per-trust pages traces back to it. The x100 presentation is the Gera contribution and is fully specified on the methodology page; no value is invented and no trust is re-banded.
Contains public sector information published by NHS England and licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Source: Summary Hospital-level Mortality Indicator (SHMI) — Deaths associated with hospitalisation, England, November 2024 - October 2025 (November 2024 to October 2025, published 12 March 2026).
Contains public sector information published by NHS England and licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Underlying data: SHMI — Deaths associated with hospitalisation, England, November 2024 – October 2025 (NHS England, published 12 March 2026). Programme home: About the SHMI.
GeraClinic is a private telemedicine service and is not part of, or affiliated with, the NHS. This page presents open NHS data for information only; it is not clinical advice and not a measure of the quality or safety of care at any hospital.